The agriculture sector is expected to receive increased institutional credit in the upcoming interim Budget, with a potential focus on marginal farmers. Experts also predict a 50 percent increase in direct transfers to farmers through the PM Kisan Samman Nidhi scheme. There is a decline in percentage allocation to the agriculture sector in recent budgets.
Open FlipThe Indian stock market has seen a significant increase in market capitalization of BSE-listed firms, with a 41% surge since the last budget. This growth can be attributed to a strong domestic economy amidst a global slowdown. Sectors like real estate and automobiles have performed well due to the resilient economy, but there was a recent correction in January 2024.
Open FlipETNow collected ratings and target prices from top brokerage firms for Paytm, Sun Pharma, KEC International, and M&M Financial Services. Macquarie maintained a neutral rating on Paytm with a target of Rs 650 amid concerns with RBI implications. BofA Securities recommended a neutral rating on Sun Pharma but raised the target price to Rs 1440 following positive growth in US and India.
Open FlipThe upcoming interim Budget for 2024-25 is estimated to rely on a 10.5% nominal GDP growth, higher than the predicted 8.9% for the same period. This has a significant impact on fiscal calculations and deficit-to-GDP ratio, with higher growth resulting in a lower deficit. However, economists suggest that a lower-than-budgeted growth of 8.9% this year could lead to minor fiscal slippage.
Open FlipGold prices dropped on Thursday after the US Fed announced that it would not be cutting interest rates in March, reaffirming its goal of 2% inflation. This news strengthened the US dollar and lowered demand for the precious metal. Gold futures on MCX and Comex both saw a decline, while the dollar index rose. Despite the reduced chances of an imminent rate cut, gold is still set for a weekly gain.
Open FlipShree Cement's shares soar 6% to a new high after impressive Q3 earnings, with net profit doubling and revenue growing. Analysts recommend buying the stock due to its efficient operations, ambitious capex plans, and potential for growth in premium products. Central government spending and upcoming elections expected to boost cement demand.
Open FlipGodrej Consumer Products saw a 12% surge in their shares after posting solid earnings for Q3. Net profit rose by 6.4%, exceeding expectations, and revenue grew by nearly 2%. Despite challenges in international markets, the company's EBITDA margin expanded to 23%, a significant improvement from the previous year.
Open FlipFinance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the pre-election budget that highlights achievements of the Modi government in the past 10 years and outlines plans to make India a developed nation by 2047. All eyes are on whether the budget will be populist or focused on fiscal reform, with key numbers like fiscal deficit, disinvestment, and capital expenditure being closely watched.
Open FlipMarkets saw a significant increase a day before the interim budget, with key indices gaining points and private banks making major contributions. Traders and investors will need to strategize for potential volatility on budget day, which also coincides with the US Fed outcome. With 88 companies announcing quarterly results, there are opportunities for traders to opt for Iron Butterfly approach.
Open FlipBudget presented by FM Nirmala Sitharaman for FY24 will impact popular stocks like L&T, ITC, NTPC, UltraTech Cement, Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, HUL, and Maruti Suzuki. Companies in the infrastructure, FMCG, power, and auto sectors can benefit from potential announcements related to capex spending, rural economy support, renewable energy, fiscal deficit targets, auto PLI, and FAME schemes.
Open FlipBritish house prices rose 0.7% in January, exceeding economists' expectations and indicating a potential easing of high interest rates. The annual decline was also less than predicted, with prices only 0.2% lower than the previous year. The Bank of England is expected to keep rates steady, but may lower inflation forecasts which could lead to a rate cut later in the year.
Open FlipThe US Federal Reserve has decided to maintain interest rates, citing a balanced risk for inflation and employment. While acknowledging economic uncertainty, the Fed says inflation is still high and they will not lower rates unless it sustains at 2%. This decision has led to changes in treasury yields, dollar index, and S&P 500 index. Stay tuned for updates.
Open FlipTCS on credit card international spends has been a hot topic lately. Last year, the government implemented a Rs 7-lakh spend threshold for TCS to apply on these transactions, but eventually exempted credit cards from TCS altogether. It is unlikely that this will change in Budget 2024, as experts believe the Rs 7 lakh yearly limit is sufficient for most individuals with foreign expenses.
Open FlipThe report by Geojit discusses the current state of rabi crop production in Maharashtra, with a 4.8% decrease in acreage compared to last year. This is due to a decline in gram and pulses crops, while wheat and jowar have seen an increase. The water levels in dams have also dropped significantly compared to last year.
Open FlipKajaria Ceramics, a leading India tile manufacturer, saw a 40.2% increase in third-quarter profit due to high demand in the housing and construction sectors. This was driven by the government's infrastructure development push ahead of the general election. The company also benefited from lower gas prices, accounting for one-fourth of its expenses, and invested in two subsidiaries.
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